5,000 to 13,000 per annum was the number of EU migrants expected as a result of EU expansion in May 2004. It was a concerted lie. Bulgaria, Romania, the Beeb and our government are conspiring in a lie again. See this article.
Back in the real world, Bulgaria is about twice as poor as Poland and Romania twice as poor again. Most estimates place average monthly earnings in Romania at about £100. If you assume a 40 hour working week the average hourly rate is about 15% of the UK's minimum wage so just because unemployment is low in Romania doesn't mean that they won't come to the UK in droves.
I am visiting Bucharest from Wednesday to Friday, where I'll be talking to the locals.
26 September 2006
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